You can’t just wait until you get to 960 spins and say, “OK, now I’ll stop so I don’t get wiped out.” The disaster IS going to hit, and the truth is, you never know when! It might hit starting on spin 960, or it might hit starting on spin 500, or it might hit somewhere in the FIRST 40 spins!!!
This brings me to the crux of your next question – On-line casinos don’t “let you win” for the first 5 minutes of play. I’ll just make $20 then I’ll stop. (This has happened to me.) You’ll walk into a casino, (or play at an on-line casino – it really doesn’t matter), and EVERY BET you make will lose! You just can’t even believe it when it happens. So many people have this flawed thinking. Nobody in the history of the planet has figured out a way to beat the game, and YOU will not be the first.
They say, “I know that roulette can’t be beaten in the long run, but I don’t care about the long run. Guess what? That just means that over the course of 25 days, you will have gone through 1,000 spins!!! As much as you can’t see this, THAT IS THE LONG RUN!!!
Here is the hardest part to understand.
So you play 40 spins in one day, and you stop after winning $20.
Try to beat roulette at your peril. It feels like the gods are against you, or some other such Voodoo magic has been cast on you! The real truth is, IT HAPPENS!
Believe this, above all else – These on-line casinos were created to TAKE your money, not to give you any. It hasn’t happened to you, but one day it will. I just want to win for a little while each time. Flawed thinking. ROULETTE was created to TAKE people’s money. It only seems like it because of how often the Martingale System works. The next day another 40 spins, and you stop at $20.
I’m going to call this the “Short Run Strategy Flaw”. THEN, I’ll come back the next day and do it again!” .
Now let’s say it takes an average of 40 spins to win $20.
Would you accept the premise that if you bet on 1,000 spins in a row that you’d lose all your money if you were playing with the Martingale System? I’m sure there must be a tiny chance someone could get REALLY lucky to survive that many spins, but let’s accept that the chance you’d survive is so low, we’ll call it 100% chance that you would go broke playing that many spins in a row. You just don’t know when that disastrous bad series of spins is going to happen. It’s likely going to be higher than 40, but to keep the numbers nice and round, let’s call it 40. Allow me to explain. It is the perfect game, whether live or on-line. Day after day you do this. Some days you’ll win that amount in just 30 spins, but some days it’ll take you 60 spins or more